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It seems very unlikely to me that most people will lose either their current job in the short term, or their ability to find work at all in the medium term.

It does seem like something to worry about for a small percentage of people in the short term (just as the China shock hurt a number of manufacturing workers in the 90s/00s) and maybe a majority of people when AGI exists, but who knows when that will be.



Sure, though I think you can understand how most laypeople don’t really feel like the risks are worth the reward.

The people at the top are guaranteed to benefit. The people at the bottom probably figure they have a very low chance of benefiting.




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